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NFL - Betting Value Index

NFL

The following table ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market. Closing odds primarily from bet365 are used. If you would like to compare betting value in line markets, check out the the NFL line betting table.

The figures represent the net profit had you wagered $1.00 on the corresponding team in the head-to-head market for each game.

Note that the earliest record on file for this league is September 7, 2006.

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Notes:

Fav = favourite, meaning games where the team was at shorter odds in the head-to-head market than its opponent
Und = underdog, meaning games where the team was at longer odds in the head-to-head market than its opponent
All = all fixtures (favourite, underdog and equal favourite)
# = the number of games
Profit = net returns over all of the games divided by the number of games: net profit / games

The favourite + underdog stats may not always correspond to the All statitisics because All includes fixtures where the team started as the joint favourite, while Fav and Und do not.

Betting Value Index: Home & Away

Team Betting Value # Profit

Kansas City
Fav:$5.89 21 44.5%
Und:$3.45
All:$9.34

Minnesota
Fav:$3.12 17 42.2%
Und:$3.15
All:$7.18

Washington
Fav:$2.39 17 32.3%
Und:$3.10
All:$5.49

Detroit
Fav:$4.85 20 24.3%
Und:$0.00
All:$4.85

Philadelphia
Fav:$0.62 18 24.5%
Und:$3.80
All:$4.42

Green Bay
Fav:$2.13 19 13.0%
Und:$1.35
All:$2.48

Buffalo
Fav:$1.69 19 11.0%
Und:$0.40
All:$2.09

Denver
Fav:$3.52 17 12.2%
Und:$-1.45
All:$2.07

Seattle
Fav:$1.16 17 12.1%
Und:$0.90
All:$2.06

LA Rams
Fav:$2.17 18 8.1%
Und:$0.30
All:$1.47

Pittsburgh
Fav:$-0.39 18 8.1%
Und:$1.85
All:$1.46

Tampa Bay
Fav:$0.33 19 4.9%
Und:$0.60
All:$0.94

Carolina
Fav:$-1.00 17 2.1%
Und:$1.35
All:$0.35

Arizona
Fav:$-2.42 17 0.5%
Und:$1.60
All:$0.09

LA Chargers
Fav:$3.97 17 -0.2%
Und:$-4.00
All:$-0.04

Dallas
Fav:$-1.17 18 -1.2%
Und:$0.95
All:$-0.22

Baltimore
Fav:$0.06 19 -5.0%
Und:$-1.00
All:$-0.94

Houston
Fav:$2.49 19 -5.6%
Und:$-3.55
All:$-1.06

Indianapolis
Fav:$1.25 17 -9.1%
Und:$-2.80
All:$-1.55

New England
Fav:$0.00 17 -19.1%
Und:$-3.25
All:$-3.25

Atlanta
Fav:$-0.27 17 -19.2%
Und:$-3.00
All:$-3.27

Cincinnati
Fav:$-0.11 17 -24.2%
Und:$-4.00
All:$-4.11

Miami
Fav:$-0.25 18 -28.3%
Und:$-4.85
All:$-5.10

Chicago
Fav:$0.59 17 -34.5%
Und:$-6.45
All:$-5.86

NY Giants
Fav:$-1.00 17 -35.9%
Und:$-5.10
All:$-6.10

New Orleans
Fav:$-1.11 17 -35.9%
Und:$-5.00
All:$-6.11

Las Vegas
Fav:$0.57 17 -40.8%
Und:$-7.50
All:$-6.93

Tennessee
Fav:$-3.45 17 -52.3%
Und:$-4.45
All:$-8.90

San Francisco
Fav:$-5.03 20 -45.1%
Und:$-4.00
All:$-9.03

NY Jets
Fav:$-3.13 17 -53.7%
Und:$-6.00
All:$-9.13

Cleveland
Fav:$-5.00 18 -50.8%
Und:$-4.15
All:$-9.15

Jacksonville
Fav:$-1.19 17 -58.1%
Und:$-9.60
All:$-9.88
 

Betting Value Index: Home

Team Betting Value # Profit

Minnesota
Fav:$1.29 9 57.2%
Und:$2.95
All:$5.15

Kansas City
Fav:$3.43 10 45.3%
Und:$1.10
All:$4.53

Washington
Fav:$1.35 9 34.9%
Und:$1.80
All:$3.15

Philadelphia
Fav:$2.11 9 23.4%
Und:$0.00
All:$2.11

Buffalo
Fav:$1.79 10 17.9%
Und:$0.00
All:$1.79

Arizona
Fav:$-0.42 9 17.7%
Und:$1.10
All:$1.59

LA Rams
Fav:$-0.40 9 17.2%
Und:$1.95
All:$1.55

Detroit
Fav:$1.53 11 13.9%
Und:$0.00
All:$1.53

Carolina
Fav:$-1.00 9 13.9%
Und:$2.25
All:$1.25

Pittsburgh
Fav:$0.39 8 15.5%
Und:$0.85
All:$1.24

Houston
Fav:$1.67 9 9.7%
Und:$-0.80
All:$0.87

Indianapolis
Fav:$2.51 8 9.5%
Und:$-1.75
All:$0.76

Denver
Fav:$2.47 8 5.9%
Und:$-2.00
All:$0.47

Green Bay
Fav:$-0.03 9 1.9%
Und:$0.20
All:$0.17

LA Chargers
Fav:$1.62 8 -4.7%
Und:$-2.00
All:$-0.38

Miami
Fav:$-1.60 8 -6.9%
Und:$1.05
All:$-0.55

Tampa Bay
Fav:$0.10 10 -6.5%
Und:$-0.75
All:$-0.65

Baltimore
Fav:$-0.92 10 -9.2%
Und:$0.00
All:$-0.92

Cleveland
Fav:$-2.00 8 -19.4%
Und:$0.45
All:$-1.55

New England
Fav:$0.00 8 -23.1%
Und:$-1.85
All:$-1.85

Chicago
Fav:$0.59 9 -26.2%
Und:$-2.95
All:$-2.36

Atlanta
Fav:$-0.78 9 -30.9%
Und:$-2.00
All:$-2.78

San Francisco
Fav:$-1.86 11 -26.0%
Und:$-1.00
All:$-2.86

New Orleans
Fav:$-0.51 9 -32.3%
Und:$-2.40
All:$-2.91

NY Jets
Fav:$-1.22 8 -40.3%
Und:$-2.00
All:$-3.22

Jacksonville
Fav:$-0.19 8 -41.0%
Und:$-4.00
All:$-3.28

Cincinnati
Fav:$-2.95 8 -49.4%
Und:$-1.00
All:$-3.95

Las Vegas
Fav:$-0.23 8 -49.8%
Und:$-3.75
All:$-3.98

Seattle
Fav:$-0.13 9 -45.9%
Und:$-4.00
All:$-4.13

NY Giants
Fav:$0.00 9 -56.7%
Und:$-5.10
All:$-5.10

Dallas
Fav:$-1.57 10 -57.2%
Und:$-4.15
All:$-5.72

Tennessee
Fav:$-3.45 8 -80.6%
Und:$-3.00
All:$-6.45
 

Betting Value Index: Away

Team Betting Value # Profit

Seattle
Fav:$1.29 8 77.4%
Und:$4.90
All:$6.19

Dallas
Fav:$0.40 8 68.8%
Und:$5.10
All:$5.50

Kansas City
Fav:$2.46 11 43.7%
Und:$2.35
All:$4.81

Detroit
Fav:$3.33 9 37.0%
Und:$0.00
All:$3.33

Washington
Fav:$1.04 8 29.3%
Und:$1.30
All:$2.34

Green Bay
Fav:$2.16 10 23.1%
Und:$1.15
All:$2.31

Philadelphia
Fav:$-1.49 9 25.6%
Und:$3.80
All:$2.31

Minnesota
Fav:$1.83 8 25.4%
Und:$0.20
All:$2.03

Denver
Fav:$1.05 9 17.8%
Und:$0.55
All:$1.60

Tampa Bay
Fav:$0.24 9 17.6%
Und:$1.35
All:$1.59

LA Chargers
Fav:$2.34 9 3.8%
Und:$-2.00
All:$0.34

Buffalo
Fav:$-0.10 9 3.4%
Und:$0.40
All:$0.30

Pittsburgh
Fav:$-0.78 10 2.2%
Und:$1.00
All:$0.22

Baltimore
Fav:$0.98 9 -0.2%
Und:$-1.00
All:$-0.02

LA Rams
Fav:$2.57 9 -0.9%
Und:$-1.65
All:$-0.08

Cincinnati
Fav:$2.84 9 -1.8%
Und:$-3.00
All:$-0.16

Atlanta
Fav:$0.52 8 -6.0%
Und:$-1.00
All:$-0.48

Carolina
Fav:$0.00 8 -11.3%
Und:$-0.90
All:$-0.90

NY Giants
Fav:$-1.00 8 -12.5%
Und:$0.00
All:$-1.00

New England
Fav:$0.00 9 -15.6%
Und:$-1.40
All:$-1.40

Arizona
Fav:$-2.00 8 -18.8%
Und:$0.50
All:$-1.50

Houston
Fav:$0.81 10 -19.4%
Und:$-2.75
All:$-1.94

Indianapolis
Fav:$-1.26 9 -25.7%
Und:$-1.05
All:$-2.31

Tennessee
Fav:$0.00 9 -27.2%
Und:$-1.45
All:$-2.45

Las Vegas
Fav:$0.80 9 -32.8%
Und:$-3.75
All:$-2.95

New Orleans
Fav:$-0.60 8 -40.0%
Und:$-2.60
All:$-3.20

Chicago
Fav:$0.00 8 -43.8%
Und:$-3.50
All:$-3.50

Miami
Fav:$1.36 10 -45.4%
Und:$-5.90
All:$-4.54

NY Jets
Fav:$-1.91 9 -65.7%
Und:$-4.00
All:$-5.91

San Francisco
Fav:$-3.17 9 -68.5%
Und:$-3.00
All:$-6.17

Jacksonville
Fav:$-1.00 9 -73.3%
Und:$-5.60
All:$-6.60

Cleveland
Fav:$-3.00 10 -76.0%
Und:$-4.60
All:$-7.60
 

Other NFL Resources

The interactive NFL form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The NFL Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The NFL home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The NFL line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NFL predictability index ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines using pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NFL score statistics provides points for, points against, points difference plus total score statistics for the current season. Averages for home games, away games and all games are provided.

The NFL stadium analysis provides a range of statistics for each team at each stadium.

The NFL table displays league table/ladder data for the date range of your choosing.

The NFL winning margins page provides winning margin data for the league as well as for specific teams at home and/or away.

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